Kenyan Papers: Gachagua Predicts Kindiki's Big Loss in By-Elections

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Key Developments in Kenyan Politics Ahead of By-Elections

On Monday, November 24, national dailies covered the ongoing campaigns leading up to the November 27 by-elections. The newspapers also highlighted President William Ruto’s response to recent remarks made by his Ugandan counterpart, Yoweri Museveni.

President Ruto Dismisses Reports of Tensions with Uganda

The Standard reported that President William Ruto dismissed claims that war might break out between Kenya and Uganda over access to the Indian Ocean. Speaking in Tororo on Sunday, November 23, Ruto downplayed the controversial remarks made by Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni regarding future conflicts over ocean access.

Ruto accused the media of misinterpreting Museveni’s comments. He emphasized that Kenya and Uganda are brothers and sisters, and the two countries have no time for negative engagement.

"I know people in the journalist space, and it is good I speak about it here, tried to create an impression that Uganda had said something to the effect that they need to access the sea by all means. Let me assure the naysayers that Uganda and Kenya are brothers and sisters, and we do not have time for negative engagement," Ruto stated.

Intensified Campaigns Ahead of By-Elections

Daily Nation covered the heightened political activity across the country as the November 27 by-election approaches. The competition for the Mbeere North parliamentary seat has intensified, with former deputy president Rigathi Gachagua suggesting that the outcome could negatively impact some of President Ruto’s allies from the region.

Gachagua claimed that Deputy President Kithure Kindiki is likely to be the main casualty of the by-election, given that Ruto may dissolve his Cabinet.

“President Ruto intends to use the by-election results as an excuse to dissolve the Cabinet and reformulate again. It is possible we will have a new Deputy President and new faces in Cabinet in January 2026,” Gachagua claimed.

According to Gachagua, the biggest threat to Kindiki comes from strong leaders within the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) party. ODM leader Oburu Oginga announced that the party is targeting the deputy president position in the 2027 election.

“If I were to advise Kindiki, his big problem is not Mt Kenya. It is not even me. His biggest threat is those ODM people who want Ruto in ODM, ready to surrender his presidency or deputy presidency to his host. You know very well what seat Ruto will find easier to surrender. Those targeting benefits in a possible government power realignment are only telling him what he wants to hear. But the problem is that they were all trapped by Ruto in this by-election,” he stated.

Political Dynamics and Future Implications

The by-elections are shaping up to be a critical test for President Ruto’s leadership and the stability of his administration. The outcome could influence cabinet reshuffles and set the stage for future political developments. Analysts suggest that the results may serve as a barometer for public sentiment and could impact the broader political landscape in the coming years.

As the campaigns continue, the focus remains on key constituencies and the strategies employed by various political actors. With the November 27 date approaching, the stakes are high for both the ruling party and its opponents. The next few weeks will be crucial in determining the direction of Kenyan politics and the potential for significant changes in the executive branch.

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