Will the US, Russia, and China Break Their Nuclear Talks Deadlock?
The Fragile State of Global Nuclear Arms Control As the key US-Russia arms treaty, the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START), is set to expire in February 2026, the world faces a growing risk of entering a new era of strategic instability. Analysts warn that without a successor agreement, the absence of constraints on nuclear arsenals could trigger an unprecedented arms race, particularly involving the United States, Russia, and China. The recent summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian leader Vladimir Putin in Alaska did not yield progress on nuclear negotiations or efforts to preserve the last major arms control pact between Washington and Moscow. Instead, Trump's push for trilateral "denuclearisation" talks involving China was met with firm resistance from Beijing, highlighting the challenges in extending New START amid fears of a fresh nuclear arms race. China, which maintains a long-standing policy of "no first use" and a nuclear ...